We only need to look at the feeder pattern map for schools in SW Rochester to see 19th Ward Schools 10, 16, 29 and 44 are all needed if we are to provide the required space for our students in revitalized neighborhood schools.  The loss of any of these schools will throw an excessive load on the remaining schools.  The wild card I think is, "When will busing become an option for all students to be bused to their home school?"  It is believed many parents use busing because of safety concerns and their own work schedule constraints.  Therefor they choose schools more than 1.5 miles from their home.   If parents can put their child on a bus to travel 1/4 mile to school, the number of feeder pattern students attending their home schools will rise rapidly.  That shift may be slower for special draw schools such as the Expeditionary Learning program at 10 but you can be sure parents all over town will reevaluate the benefits vs. liabilities of busing their children across town vs. to the school a few blocks away.

Here is a link to a useful site for getting individual school data:  http://www.newyorkschools.com/districts/rochester-city-school-distr...

The data is dated 2005 and does not list schools 10/37 so I suspect it dates to post School 37 closing and pre School 10 opening. 

It lists enrollment at:

School  2 - 401

School  3 - 737

School  4 - 388

School 16 - 508

School 17 - 510

School 19 - 359

School 29 - 475

School 44 - 346

Assuming that these enrollments are somewhere near capacity the only schools with an insufficient feeder pattern on the map are 3 and 4.  The 19th Ward schools on the other hand could have to accommodate a 2133 student from their feeder patterns.  

This does not factor in the Wilson Foundation Academy at 200 Genesee which was originally built as a middle school to accommodate the students from our SW K-6 elementary schools.  For some reason it has been converted to a K-8 school with, I believe, a city wide feeder pattern.